Hard to Vary or Hardly Usable?

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Dennis Hackethal’s avatar
Dennis HackethalOP revised 1 day ago·#3780
3rd of 3 versions leading to #3793 (4 total)

Deutsch’s stance in my own words:

The distinguishing characteristic between rationality and irrationality is that rationality is the search for good explanations. All progress comes from the search for good explanations. So the distinction between good vs bad explanations is epistemologically fundamental.

A good explanation is hard to vary “while still accounting for what it purports to account for.” (BoI chapter 1 glossary.) A bad explanation is easy to vary.

For example, the Persephone myth as an explanation of the seasons is easy to change without impacting its ability to explain the seasons. You could arbitrarily replace Persephone and other characters and the explanation would still ‘work’. The axis-tilt explanation of the earth, on the other hand, is hard to change without breaking it. You can’t just replace the axis with something else, say.

The quality of a theory is a matter of degrees. The harder it is to change a theory, the better that theory is. When deciding which explanation to adopt, we should “choose between [explanations] according to how good they are…: how hard to vary.” (BoI chapter 9; see similar remark in chapter 8.)

Criticized13*
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

From my article:

Isn’t the assignment of positive scores, of positive reasons to prefer one theory over another, a kind of justificationism? Deutsch criticizes justificationism throughout The Beginning of Infinity, but isn’t an endorsement of a theory as ‘good’ a kind of justification?

Criticism of #3780
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar
Dennis HackethalOP, about 6 hours ago·#3789

@lola-trimble suggested during a space that a theory is hard to vary if it’s not easy to vary. So the maximum score would be 0, not +1,000 or whatever. In which case ‘hard to vary’ isn’t an endorsement.

Criticism of #3721Criticized2*
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar
Dennis HackethalOP, about 5 hours ago·#3791

Even so, if a criticism gets score -10, that will push the parent theory’s score above 0.

Criticism of #3789
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar
Dennis HackethalOP, about 5 hours ago·#3792

What if we simply clamp the score at 0?

Criticism of #3791Criticized1*
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar
Dennis HackethalOP, about 5 hours ago·#3793

But then the ease with which a criticism could be varied might have no effect on its parent. So why even bother having a notion of ‘easiness to vary’ at that point?

Criticism of #3792