Life Choice: Should Someone Highly Interested in AGI Research Jeopardize Their Existing Career to Pursue It?

Tyler Mills started this discussion 23 days ago.

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I have a BS + MS in optical engineering, and have had a profitable three or so years in the field as an engineer. I enjoy learning about and applying physics, including optical physics, but this makes up a tiny percentage of the tasks performed as an "engineer" so far in my experience, and I see no sign of change on the horizon. Many of the tasks I am assigned seem eminently automatable, and performing them is excruciating for me (though I recognize my good fortune overall). Even when there are micro-problems which require creativity to solve, I still find the process painful, given that they are other people's problems rather than my own. It is the same pain of school: creativity forced to work toward answers to questions not asked.

So, where to draw the line? I think I have fallen in love with AGI research, having followed the area for years, learning and reading bits and pieces. I've been working on independent research in my free time for over a year, in addition to related content (for several years) which is meaningful, creative, educational, largely very fun to produce -- and perhaps ultimately valuable. I'm confident I could publish ideas which will be of interest to the field, and that I would be happy working on all of these things for many years to come.

The question: Should I take a hiatus from my career to pursue independent research (and related content creation), full-time, for some number of months?

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Tyler Mills’s avatar

A hiatus would create a "resume gap," weakening hireability in the field. This is to be avoided, but only assuming working in the field is itself desirable, which may not be the case, here, unless better opportunities arise (roles allowing more contact with physics, math and design -- i.e. "engineering"!).

Criticized2
Tyler Mills’s avatar

The resume gap can be absolved by simply listing "independent research" for the period in question. Forming an LLC would also help to formalize the venture (in addition to having other uses).

Criticism of #3611
Dirk Meulenbelt’s avatar
3rd of 3 versions

This is solved by actively doing some visible stuff you'd want to do anyway as an AGI researcher.

Criticism of #3611
Tyler Mills’s avatar

A hiatus would incur a relatively heavy cost: the cost of living + the opportunity cost of lost salary. Earning money as quickly as possible, as early as possible, is important for long-term financial success.

Criticized1
Tyler Mills’s avatar

The cost of living for several months is not large relative to the amount of money in savings. The opportunity cost and financial strategy points are valid, but pale in comparison to the moral cost of not pursuing what one is passionate about and good at -- especially when there is arguably some potential for value, given the state of the world regarding AI/AGI. Being an employee in an uninteresting field for years or decades is a catastrophic loss, and all too common.

Criticism of #3613
Dirk Meulenbelt’s avatar

You could spend some time in a cheap country.

Criticized1
Tyler Mills’s avatar

Good thought, in general. But the dislocation would take significant time and resources itself. The current lease arrangement also cannot be exited without a heavy fee. I also moved recently, I would love to not do that again for some time.

Criticism of #3774
Tyler Mills’s avatar

The failure to have found roles which have a closer relationship with physics, math and design may stem from an underlying mediocrity as an optical engineer; this itself could stem from the underlying (or widespread) disinterest in it within your mind.

Tyler Mills’s avatar

Empirically, roles with "a closer relationship with physics, math and design" overwhelmingly seem to be reserved for PhD-holders. So mediocrity may not be to blame for the as-yet inability to land engaging roles. However, both could be factors.

Cf. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elite_overproduction

Tyler Mills’s avatar

Option 1: Continue working the day job and balancing the other pursuits on the side.

Criticized4
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

You describe your job as “excruciating”. That’s reason to quit.

Criticism of #3638
Tyler Mills’s avatar

This brings us back to our conversation about discipline. Maybe we can recapitulate here, or maybe best done elsewhere. Lots of things are excruciating, like homework and exams; should I not have done them? Exercise as well. There seem to be problems which can only be solved by maintaining other problems..!
Should suffering be avoided? Not if it's useful..? I'm still conflicted about this.

Criticism of #3762Criticized2
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Just because lots of things are excruciating doesn’t mean life necessarily involves those things. Life doesn’t have to be difficult in this way.

You can find a passion, have fun 100% of the time, and never coerce yourself. (That’s an ideal we can fall short of – if we ‘only’ have fun 90% of the time, that’s still infinitely better than dooming ourselves to a life we hate.)

https://blog.dennishackethal.com/posts/unconflicted

Criticism of #3823
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Should suffering be avoided? Not if it's useful..?

Self-coercion should be avoided, yes. When we coerce ourself, we are not creating knowledge and instead arbitrarily favoring one idea over another. If a part of you disagrees that something is useful, then don’t do it!

You can always find a common preference with yourself. Problems are soluble. Do not act on ideas that have pending criticisms.

https://veritula.com/ideas/2281-rational-decision-making-expanding-on-2112

Criticism of #3823
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

You’re young. Now’s the time to take (educated, calculated) risks. Even if quitting turns out to be a mistake, you have all the time in the world to correct the mistake and recover. You can always find some day job somewhere. But you may not always be able to pursue your passion.

Criticism of #3638
Tyler Mills’s avatar

I find this point irrefutable, aside from the risk being educated or calculated... Maybe it is those things...
What I would ultimately love to do is pivot into AGI research as a career, but when is pursuing that educated risk-taking vs fantasy?

Criticism of #3763Criticized2
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Why does it have to be a career? You could try it for a year or six months or whatever. If you don’t like it, you switch to something else. That’d be fine.

Criticism of #3824
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

It would be fantasy/reckless if, for example, you were in your mid 40s, had a family to take care of, and had no savings.

Criticism of #3824
Zakery Mizell’s avatar

How much time and energy do you really have for research while working? 1hr daily? 2 hours daily? 4 hours daily?

Leaving your job allows for the possibility of consistent high quality research daily.

Criticism of #3638
Tyler Mills’s avatar

Yes, very little time and energy for research while working, a handful of hours a week. The intermittence carries its own cost, I also find.

Zakery Mizell’s avatar

Leaving the job means more time for research. It also means more time to find a much better job that allows you the energy for research.

Leaving gives space for better balance.

Criticism of #3638Criticized1
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Large overlap with idea #3783 – effectively a duplicate. You could revise that idea to include finding “a much better job that allows you the energy for research.”

Criticism of #3784
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Another reason to quit is that you work at night. I believe you told me you don’t personally mind this, but continued interruption of your circadian rhythm is bound to impact your health.

Criticism of #3638
Zelalem Mekonnen’s avatar
2nd of 2 versions

Have you thought about quiet quitting?

Could you also come up with the reasons you dislike your job? Is it because of co-workers, managers or the work you actually do? In either case, the calculation in the calculated risk of quitting your job might be mentally checking out from it, but reaping the good thing about it, which is the financial stability.

Criticism of #3638Criticized1
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Tyler explained what he dislikes about his job in the ‘About’ section of the discussion, which is quoted in the bounty terms:

Many of the tasks I am assigned seem eminently automatable, and performing them is excruciating for me (though I recognize my good fortune overall). Even when there are micro-problems which require creativity to solve, I still find the process painful, given that they are other people's problems rather than my own. It is the same pain of school: creativity forced to work toward answers to questions not asked.

Criticism of #3917
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar
2nd of 2 versions

You need to mark your submission as a criticism if you want it to be eligible for a payout from the bounty.

‘How Do Bounties Work?’

Tyler Mills’s avatar

Option 2: Go on hiatus from the day job/career, and focus on creative pursuits and research, full-time, for some number of months (duration perhaps depending on job opportunities).

Battle tested
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

One rule of thumb financial advisors have told me in the past is to have enough cash on hand to last at least six months without an income.

If you don’t, quitting your job right now could be a bad idea, and your first priority should be to build enough runway.

(This is not financial advice – follow at your own risk.)

Criticism of #3639Criticized1
Tyler Mills’s avatar

Agreed, and this is doable.

Criticism of #3764
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

This isn’t a criticism.

Criticism of #3844Criticized1
Tyler Mills’s avatar

My thought was to negate (criticize) the "if you don't" portion of your comment, which was a criticism of mine. Unrefuted, yours sits as a criticism of the original, but it isn't...
- Go on hiatus?
- No runway = bad
- Do have runway
How should criticisms with conditionals in them be handled? Is this comment a criticism?!

Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Well, agreement doesn’t sound like criticism. It sounds like agreement!
But I see now that you meant to say – correct me if I’m wrong – that the six-month minimum of reserves won’t be a problem for you. In which case that indeed neutralizes my criticism. I’ll counter-criticize my own.

Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Tyler is saying the six-month minimum won’t be an issue.

Criticism of #3847
Zakery Mizell’s avatar

Consider your current balance of working and research.

Could you cut other activities, keep the job, and increase focus on research?

Criticism of #3639Criticized1
Tyler Mills’s avatar

I think I've compressed other activities as much as possible. With the current job, I don't think I can increase focus on research any further. The concerns are over the tradeoffs of leaving the day job (finances, impact to employability, etc.).

Criticism of #3782
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

FWIW, if I was hiring, and I was looking at a resume of someone who always ‘played it safe’ and was very concerned about what others think, I wouldn’t hire them. Whereas I would hire someone who takes smart risks and cares about truth over popularity, even if they have a resume ‘gap’.

Criticism of #3819Criticized1
Tyler Mills’s avatar
3rd of 3 versions

Still learning the art of Veritula (my bad for combining ideas in #3819). From the top, this branch seems to be:
Go on hiatus?
- No hiatus, compress activates
----- Yes hiatus, can't compress. No hiatus because resume gap.
--------- No to resume gap -- So YES hiatus. But currently #3834 flows up and flips to a no-hiatus criticism (because I melded a yes and a no idea in one comment, and Dennis criticized the latter).
------------- Yes hiatus via this comment to correct

"It’s best to write only one criticism at a time."
----- Best, or required, to avoid errors?! (or I'm confused)

Criticism of #3834
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

It’s not strictly required – there are cases where joining multiple criticisms into one comment is fine – but I almost always recommend splitting them, especially for beginners.

Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

… my bad for combining ideas in #3819 …

No worries, and good catch. What you could do, to clean up this branch, is revise #3819 to remove this part:

The concerns are over the tradeoffs of leaving the day job (finances, impact to employability, etc.).

And then, before submitting the revision form, uncheck criticism #3834 underneath the form.

Tyler Mills’s avatar

A related idea is to become more disciplined with my time, getting more out of the off days.

Criticized1
Tyler Mills’s avatar

So far this has proven ineffective, though a skill which could be improved. However, questions remain for me over whether self-disciplining is good, in general, and where to draw the line between coercion and healthy structure.

Criticism of #3820Criticized1
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

skill

Self-discipline isn’t a skill. It’s an anti-skill and irrational.

Criticism of #3821
Tyler Mills’s avatar

Apparently I remain unconvinced of this. I see you've defined discipline in #3833, will continue, there. (How do we draw ligaments between ideas in different threads?! Is this deeper than merely an aesthetic or organizational function? Hmm...)

Criticism of #3832Criticized1
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

This isn’t a criticism. A criticism must point out some shortcoming. Please read ‘How Does Veritula Work?’

Criticism of #3845
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

(How do we draw ligaments between ideas in different threads?! Is this deeper than merely an aesthetic or organizational function? Hmm...)

Using hash links like you did is fine. But feel free to submit a feature request in the ‘Veritula – Meta’ thread if you have any ideas beyond that.

Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Discipline means arbitrarily favoring one conflicting idea over another. ‘Arbitrarily’ meaning favoring without resolving the conflict.

You don’t actually know which idea is better, if any, before you resolve the conflict. So siding with one before then is irrational.

Instead of practicing discipline, practice resolving conflicts between ideas and thus finding common preferences with yourself: ideas you wholeheartedly agree with, have no reservations about.

Veritula helps you with that.

Criticism of #3820
Tyler Mills’s avatar

How far out does the graph of irrational ideas go? Is the argument that: discipline, grit, drive, tenacity and more concepts in this web are all bad/irrational? This is quite a claim. Is "work" bad? Irrational? Work to me means discipline, at least in large part...

I want to understand this. Take the horrible and widespread case of: "I hate my job, and all other jobs that seem available. But I need money to live." How can the conflict be resolved? What is one to do until they resolve it? Surely it is rational to work to make money... Yet in this case, this requires forcing oneself to do something unpleasant; hence the rational thing to do in this case requires discipline.

Criticism of #3833Criticized1
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Is the argument that: discipline, grit, drive, tenacity and more concepts in this web are all bad/irrational?

Discipline is irrational because it’s self-coercive by definition. For the others, it depends. Are you being tenacious because you’re forcing yourself to stick to some topic you don’t like? Then it’s irrational. Are you being tenacious because you have an unquenchable thirst for knowledge in that area? Rational.

Dennis Hackethal’s avatar
2nd of 2 versions

How can the conflict be resolved?

By coming up with a new option that has no pending criticisms. We can’t state it in advance.

Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

What is one to do until they resolve it? Surely it is rational to work to make money... Yet in this case, this requires forcing oneself to do something unpleasant; hence the rational thing to do in this case requires discipline.

Well yeah, acting without a solution is self-coercive. But that’s not a refutation of the idea that problems are soluble.

Criticism of #3846
Tyler Mills’s avatar

So we could say working via discipline to make money tentatively, as part of a problem solving process, is not irrational? I suppose that's what I'm doing now...

Zakery Mizell’s avatar

Have you fully used your cash to free time/energy after work?

You may have money for laundry services, cleaning, cooking, and so on. All the other things that take time in your day can be removed with money, giving you space to do research just fine

Criticism of #3639Criticized1
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

This seems more like a specific implementation of #3782 than a standalone criticism.

Criticism of #3785
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Read The Fountainhead by Ayn Rand. That should give you some fuel to move forward.

If that’s too long, watch ‘The Simplest Thing in the World’

Tyler Mills’s avatar
2nd of 2 versions

The Fountainhead is on my list. Listened to ‘The Simplest Thing in the World’. One message seems to be that one's creativity will continuously resist attempts to coerce it into doing something it doesn't want. A will of its own. I feel such resistance acutely at this current job, more so but no differently than during previous jobs and assignments, as we all have. But what is the import of the story to the present debate? My creative muse will continue fighting me so long as I'm trying to steer it towards other things? I have no doubt. The questions here are over what is practical, secure and strategic, all largely in the financial sense--or so I think. Where does one draw the line between passion and security? Maybe there is no general-purpose explanation. I will continue reflecting.

Criticism of #3746Criticized3
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

The questions here are over what is practical, secure and strategic, all largely in the financial sense--or so I think.

There’s nothing practical about working a job you hate. There’s nothing practical about fighting yourself.

Where does one draw the line between passion and security?

There’s no security in not pursuing your passion, and there’s no need to make this kind of tradeoff anyway.

Criticism of #3874
Tyler Mills’s avatar

Conceded re: what is practical in the case of this job, or others that are hated. In the sense that the debate here relates to careers vs passions in general, I think the question of what is practical remains...
"No need to make this kind of tradeoff..."? Please explain.
Take another passion, such as playing the guitar. If one dislikes anything that stops them from playing, it's still impractical to only pursue guitar, isn't it? In general, one would run out of savings and be in poverty. It's practical to avoid that.

Criticism of #3826Criticized1
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

You could play the guitar and have a well-paying job you enjoy as well.

Criticism of #3843
Tyler Mills’s avatar
2nd of 2 versions

There exist people whose passions exclude all available paying jobs, unless this is not physically possible. Aspiring guitarists in dark ages.

Criticism of #3856Criticized2
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

Well, this is starting to sound a bit contrived. But even in the dark ages, people could be guitarists and find a job they love. Or they could create a new job they loved.

Criticism of #3908
Tyler Mills’s avatar

The guitarist line above is of course just a throwaway example. The core claims here seem very general to me. Is your stance that a person can always make a living doing something they enjoy? People can create all possible jobs, but this says nothing about human lifetimes, economics, etc. The first people couldn’t have had much fun, I wouldn’t think. Please explain.

Criticism of #3889Criticized2
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

It’s always possible to make a living doing something you enjoy. But if you’re looking for a guarantee, you will be disappointed.

Criticism of #3913
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

It’s contrived beyond the specific example of the guitarist from the dark ages. You’ll never run out of examples that could be challenging for me to answer. I can’t give you all the solutions ahead of time. That doesn’t mean problems aren’t soluble.

All I can tell you is that you’re a problem-solving engine, so it’s possible possible for you to enjoy life 100% of the time, and that this is worth striving for.

Criticism of #3913
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

who's

whose

Criticism of #3908
Tyler Mills’s avatar

Oh dear, thanks. Corrected.

Criticism of #3890Criticized1
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

When a revision addresses a criticism, you don’t counter-criticize the criticism, you deselect it at the bottom of the revision form.

To be sure, this isn’t a big deal. But try revising #3908 again, just to practice.

Criticism of #3910
Tyler Mills’s avatar

There's no security in not pursuing your passion

Do we mean by security something other than food/water/shelter? Or, resisting your passion only buys temporary security? This isn't true; people go their whole lives resisting their passions, and are secure.

Criticism of #3826Criticized2
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

You should reach far higher in life than merely ensuring food/water/shelter. It’s a pretty elementary concern and easily met.

Criticism of #3877
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar
2nd of 2 versions

… people go their whole lives resisting their passions, and are secure.

Physically maybe. I can’t look into those people’s minds but I suspect they don’t ever really feel psychologically secure. It takes a certain kind of mind to have physical security, rather than fulfillment, as one’s main concern for one’s whole life. https://aynrandlexicon.com/lexicon/self-esteem.html

It’s essentially living like an animal.

Criticism of #3877
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

You didn’t mark this as a criticism, but it sounds like one. Consider revising your idea to mark it as a criticism. (No changes to the text necessary for that.)

Criticism of #3874
Tyler Mills’s avatar

I don't feel I had/have any criticism of your post (#3746), or of the Rand story, so left it as a comment.

Criticism of #3827Criticized1
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

But what is the import of the story to the present debate?

That sounds like a criticism. It implies that you don’t see the import.

Criticism of #3842
Tyler Mills’s avatar

Only that I didn't see it, not that there wasn't any, but I see that this is effectively the same. Edited the comment to be a criticism.

Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

But what is the import of the story to the present debate?

‘The Simplest Thing in the World’ has themes about fear and safety vs self-actualization. For example:

What’s the quality that all the people you know have got, the outstanding quality in all of them? Their motive power? Fear. Not fear of anyone in particular, just fear. Just a great, blind force without object. Malicious fear. The kind that makes them want to see you suffer. Because they know that they, too, will have to suffer and it makes it easier, to know that you do also. The kind that makes them want to see you being small and funny and smutty. Small people are safe. It’s not really fear, it’s more than that. Like Mr. Crawford, for instance, who’s a lawyer and who’s glad when a client of his loses a suit. He’s glad, even though he loses money on it; even though it hurts his reputation. He’s glad, and he doesn’t even know that he’s glad. God, what a story there is in Mr. Crawford! If you could put him down on paper as he is, and explain just why he is like that, and . . .

Rand, Ayn. The Romantic Manifesto (p. 172). Kindle Edition. Emphasis mine; ellipsis in the original.
Criticism of #3874
Dennis Hackethal’s avatar

@tyler-mills, both bounties are over.

At the time of writing, the idea saying to keep your job (#3638) has 4 pending criticisms.

The idea saying to quit and do research (#3639) has no pending criticisms.

So at this moment, the rational choice would be to quit your job. Hope this brings you some clarity.